商业研究

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民营经济与区域经济协调发展的时空特征及驱动机制研究

郭玉晶,宋林,张礼涛   

  1. 西安交通大学 经济与金融学院,西安 710061
  • 收稿日期:2017-03-10 出版日期:2017-09-22
  • 作者简介:郭玉晶(1987-),男,河南灵宝人,西安交通大学经济与金融学院博士研究生,研究方向:产业组织理论;宋林(1969-),男,陕西大荔人,西安交通大学经济与金融学院教授,博士生导师,经济学博士,研究方向:产业组织理论;张礼涛(1978-),男,陕西商洛人,西安交通大学经济与金融学院博士研究生,研究方向:公司治理与产业发展。
  • 基金资助:
    国家社科基金项目“‘一带一路’战略下OFDI促进西部地区产业转型升级问题研究”,项目编号:16BJY086。

The Spatial and Temporal Characteristics and Its Driving Mechanism of the Coordinated Development of Private Economy and Regional Economy

GUO Yu-jing, SONG Lin, ZHANG Li-tao   

  1. School of Economics and Finance of Xi′an Jiaotong University, Xi′an 710061, China
  • Received:2017-03-10 Online:2017-09-22

摘要: 民营经济与区域经济相互影响、互动发展。基于全国30个省区1998-2014年民营经济与区域经济系统面板数据,借鉴耦合协调度模型,结合GIS对中国各省区民营经济与区域经济耦合协调度进行时间和空间格局分析。研究发现:时间维度表明,以2003年为转折点,民营经济综合发展指数呈下降趋势,2006年之后开始缓慢上升。区域经济综合发展指数波动平稳,表现出经济周期特征。各省民营经济与区域经济耦合度均值呈“W”型,表现下降趋势;空间格局表明,各地区民营经济指数与区域经济指数波动趋势基本一致,民营经济指数区域差异明显,整体表现出“东-中-西”特点,中部地区本身分化明显。省际间的耦合程度分布不平衡且差异明显,耦合度长期表现出高高相聚和低低相聚的分化格局;通过时差相关分析得出,民营经济综合指数是区域经济综合指数的先行指标,具有预警功能;各类影响因素中,研发支出与上市公司对耦合度影响最显著。研究表明,民营经济与区域经济发展存在密切的互动作用,在经济新常态下推动区域经济转型升级,二者的协同发展具有重要的现实意义。

关键词: 民营经济, 区域经济, 耦合度

Abstract: The relationship between private economy and regional economy is mutual and interactive. Based on 1998-2014 panel data of private economy and regional economy of 30 provinces in China, this paper uses the coupling coordination degree model, combined with GIS of private economy in China′s provinces and regions, to analyze coupling coordination degree of regional economy of time and spatial pattern. The study found that the time dimension indicates that the comprehensive development index of private economy began to show a downward trend in 2003, which began to increase slowly after 2006. The regional economic comprehensive development index fluctuates smoothly and shows the characteristics of the economic cycle. The mean value of the coupling degree of private economy and regional economy in the provinces is “W”, which shows the trend of decline; the spatial pattern indicates that the private economic indexes of various regions are basically in line with the fluctuation trend of regional economic indexes. The regional difference of private economic index is obvious, and the whole character shows “east-west - west”, and the central region itself is obviously divided. The coupling degree of the province is unbalanced and the difference is obvious, and the coupling degree has been shown to be the polarizing pattern of high gathering and low and low reunion; according to the analysis of jet lag, the comprehensive index of private economy is the leading indicator of regional economic comprehensive index, with early warning function; among all kinds of influencing factors, R&D expenditure and the listed company have the most significant influence on the coupling degree. The study shows that the private economy has a close interaction with regional economic development, and the coordinated development of them has important practical significance for promoting regional economic transformation and upgrading under the new normal economy.

Key words: private economy, regional economy, degree of coupling