商业研究

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增加值贸易与反倾销网络的结构特征及关联效应 ——基于社会网络分析视角

乔小勇,吴晓雪,李翔宇   

  1. (北京工业大学 经济与管理学院,北京 100124)
  • 收稿日期:2019-06-24 出版日期:2019-12-24
  • 作者简介:乔小勇(1983-),男,河南新郑人,北京工业大学经济与管理学院副研究员,研究生导师,管理学博士,研究方向:全球价值链与贸易政策;吴晓雪(1995-),女,山东泰安人,北京工业大学经济与管理学院研究生,研究方向:全球价值链与复杂网络;李翔宇(1993-),女,河北衡水人,北京工业大学经济与管理学院研究生,研究方向:全球价值链与贸易救济。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金面上项目“基于全球价值链的政府贸易救济政策决策过程重构与评估方法研究”,项目编号:71774008;2017年北京市属高校高水平教师队伍建设支持计划青年拔尖项目。

Structure Characteristics and Correlation Effect of Value-added Trade and Anti-dumping Network:From the Perspective of Social Network Analysis

QIAO Xiao-yong, WU Xiao-xue,LI Xiang-yu   

  1. (School of Economics and Management,Beijing University of Technology,Beijing 100124,China)
  • Received:2019-06-24 Online:2019-12-24

摘要: :为在全球价值链下衡量分析一个国家真实的贸易获益情况及与他国贸易摩擦程度,本文使用世界投入产出数据库(WIOD,World Input-Output Database)及世界银行反倾销数据库(GAD,Global Anti-dumping Database)的相关数据,同时构建增加值贸易及反倾销两类网络,基于社会网络分析法探究增加值贸易网络和反倾销网络的结构变化,并使用QAP方法对两个网络之间的关联效应进行假设检验。结果表明:经济体在增加值贸易网络中拥有更多的贸易联系可以有效抑制反倾销关系的产生,但高端增加值贸易网络中对于网络信息的掌控力更能使国家占据发起反倾销主导权;对比分析表明,传统核算体系下的贸易流量依旧是反倾销诉讼发生的一个重要原因;网络的拓扑结构分析表明,中国在增加值贸易网络中的地位不断提升,但高端价值链领域参与不足。此外,研究认为增加值贸易网络是可塑性的,可通过调整网络结构应对贸易摩擦。

关键词: 全球价值链, 增加值贸易网络, 反倾销网络, 社会网络分析

Abstract: In order to measure and analyze the real trade benefits of a country and the degree of trade friction with other countries under the global value chain, this paper uses the relevant data of the World Input-Output Database (WIOD) and the World Bank′s Anti-dumping Database (GAD), and constructs two kinds of networks, namely, value-added trade and anti-dumping, to explore the structural changes of value-added trade network and anti-dumping network based on the social network Network analysis, and uses QAP method to test the hypothesis of the correlation effect between the two networks.The results show that more trade links between economies in the value-added trade network can effectively inhibit the emergence of anti-dumping relations, but the control of network information in the high-end value-added trade network can make countries occupy the leading position in Launching Anti-dumping; the comparative analysis shows that the trade flow under the traditional accounting system is still an important reason for the occurrence of anti-dumping litigation; the topological structure analysis of the network shows that China′s position in the value-added trade network is constantly improving, but the participation in the high-end value chain field is insufficient. In addition, the research considers that the value-added trade network is malleable, and the trade friction can be dealt with by adjusting the network structure.

Key words: global value chain;value-added trade network, anti-dumping network, social network analysis