商业研究

商业研究

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天津自由贸易试验区经济增长效应：机制检验与政策应对

方云龙，王博   

  1. （天津财经大学 金融学院，天津 300222）
  • 收稿日期:2019-12-09 出版日期:2020-05-12
  • 作者简介:方云龙（1994-），男，河北唐山人，中国滨海金融协同创新中心助理研究员，天津财经大学金融学院博士研究生，研究方向：国际金融、自贸区研究；王博（1996-），男，河北承德人，天津财经大学金融学院研究生，研究方向：国际金融、区域经济。
  • 基金资助:
    天津市教委科研创新项目“扩大金融开放条件下中国经济内外均衡研究”，项目编号：2019YJSB099。

Economic Growth Effect of Tianjin Pilot Free Trade Zone: Mechanism Test and Policy Response

FANG Yun-long,WANG Bo   

  1. (School of Finance,Tianjin University of Finance and Economics,Tianjin 300222,China)
  • Received:2019-12-09 Online:2020-05-12

摘要： 天津自由贸易试验区肩负着打通北方城市“一带一路”对外开放、服务京津冀城市群建设的重要使命。在对自由贸易试验区经济增长效应检验的基础上，本文着重分析天津自由贸易试验区的经济驱动效果及其动力机制。结果显示：自由贸易试验区的设立有效驱动了区域经济的快速增长，且沿海型自由贸易试验区的政策效果明显好于内陆型，为国家实施自贸区战略、为自贸区选址提供了参考。从整体看，天津自由贸易试验区的设立对区域经济发展驱动效果不明显，其重要原因在于其未能充分发挥出自由贸易试验区应有的“贸易效应”、“资本效应”以及“高端产业集群效应”，而且出口驱动力、外商直接投资与全社会固定资产投资驱动力以及产业结构升级驱动力等均处于“失灵”状态。

关键词: 天津自贸区, 经济增长效应, 双重差分法, 合成控制法

Abstract: Tianjin Pilot Free Trade Zone shoulders the important mission of getting through Northern Cities′ opening to “The Belt and Road” and serving the construction of Beijing- Tianjin- Hebei Urban Agglomeration. Based on the test of the economic growth effect of the Pilot Free Trade Zone, this paper focuses on the analysis of the economic driving effect and its driving mechanism of Tianjin pilot free trade zone.The results show that the establishment of the Pilot Free Trade Zone has effectively driven the rapid growth of regional economy, and the policy effect of the coastal Pilot Free Trade Zone is significantly better than that of the inland Pilot Free Trade Zone, which provides a reference for the national implementation of Pilot Free Trade Zone strategy and the location of Pilot Free Trade Zone. As a whole, the establishment of Tianjin Pilot Free Trade Zone has no obvious driving effect on regional economic development. The important reason is that it fails to give full play to the “trade effect”, “capital effect” and “high-end industrial cluster effect” that the Pilot Free Trade Zone should have, and the driving forces of export, foreign direct investment, fixed asset investment and industrial structure upgrading are all in a state of “failure”.

Key words: Tianjin Pilot Free Trade Zone, economic growth effect, double difference method, synthetic control method